海洋碳汇观测与评估的现状与思考

Estimate of Ocean Carbon Sink: Current Status and Reflections

  • 摘要: 由于海洋在吸收大气CO2方面存在巨大潜力,海洋碳汇成为实现“碳中和”以应对气候变化的重要途径。本文系统梳理了海洋碳汇的观测与模拟手段,全面总结了碳汇研究的技术动态,并对未来海洋碳汇研究的创新方向进行了展望。受益于13C、14C测定技术和箱式模型的创建,碳同位素示踪法率先实现了对海气CO2交换通量的估算,也为后来海气传输模型的发展奠定了基础。通过追踪大气O2含量的组成变化而反演海洋碳汇也是一种重要手段,尤其适合与陆地碳汇进行对比研究,从地球系统角度阐述海洋碳汇的重要地位。p(CO2)现场观测是目前应用最广的海洋碳汇研究手段,能够有效揭示全球海洋碳汇的时空格局。在此基础上,通过数值模式解析海气碳循环过程可定量解析海气碳交换的复杂控制因素,而且极大拓展了海气碳交换研究的时空范畴,丰富了多学科多领域的交流与合作,而这也正是未来海洋碳汇研究创新发展的关键。在气候变化的框架下深入探索人为活动对海洋碳汇的影响应是未来海洋碳汇研究的热点方向。

     

    Abstract: Ocean carbon sink has become an important measure to achieve “carbon neutrality” in order to tackle climate change. In this paper, we systematically reviewed the observation and simulation methods of ocean carbon sink, comprehensively summarized the technological trends of carbon sink research, and prospected the innovative directions of ocean carbon sink in the future research. Benefiting from the development of 13C and 14C measurement techniques and the “Box model”, carbon isotope tracer method was the first practice to realize the estimation of air-sea CO2 exchange flux, which laid a foundation for the development of later air-sea gas transport study. Afterwards, tracking the composition change of atmospheric O2 inventory became an important method to retrieve the magnitude of the ocean carbon sink. By comparing with the terrestrial carbon sink, this method expounded the important position of the ocean carbon sink from the perspective of the Earth system. At present, p(CO2) field observation is the most widely used method for ocean carbon sink research, which effectively reveals the spatial and temporal pattern of global air-sea CO2 exchange flux. On this basis, the numerical model gains the ability to analyse the variation process of the oceanic carbon cycle and becomes a crucial method to quantitatively study the exchange of the complex control process. An more important fact is that the numerical model greatly broadens the temporal and spatial category of ocean carbon sink research, and promotes the multi-disciplinary cooperation in many areas, which is the vital foundation for the future innovation and development of ocean carbon sink research. Under the context of climate change, exhaustive exploration of the impact of anthropogenic activities on ocean carbon sinks should be the most important direction of future research.

     

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