亲潮及其延伸体海域冬春季节海洋热浪特征及驱动机制统计分析

Statistical Analysis on the Characteristics and Drivers of Marine Heatwaves in Winter and Spring in the Oyashio Extension

  • 摘要: 亲潮及其延伸体区域海温变率高,高强度海洋热浪事件频发,但目前针对该区域的研究主要集中于夏季,对于寒冷季节的研究较少。本文利用卫星观测资料和模式再分析结果,系统分析了亲潮及其延伸体区域冬春季节海洋热浪的分布特征及潜在的影响因素。该区域在1992至2021年期间的平均强度、平均频率、持续时间和累计强度这4个海洋热浪指标表现出明显的上升趋势,增长趋势分别为0.39 ℃/(10 a)、0.38次/(10 a)、3.05 d/(10 a)和8.09 (℃·d)/(10 a),该上升趋势与累积反气旋涡涡动能表现出良好的相关性。2021年春季亲潮及其延伸体区域发生了有记录以来最强的海洋热浪事件,混合层热收支分析结果表明,这一事件主要是由异常涡旋项导致的水平平流异常引起的,从黑潮延伸体脱落的反气旋涡将暖水带向北方或局地反气旋涡增强导致热浪发生。

     

    Abstract: The Oyashio and its extension exhibit high SST variability, with frequent occurrences of high-intensity marine heatwaves. However, previous research mainly focuses on summer, with limited studies on the colder seasons. In this study, using satellite observation data and model reanalysis results, we systematically analyzed the changes in marine heatwaves during the winter and spring seasons in the Oyashio and its extension, as well as potential influencing factors. From 1992 to 2021, marine heatwave index (mean intensity, frequency, duration, cumulative intensity) in the region demonstrated a clear upward trend, with respective values of 0.39 ℃/(10 a), 0.38 times/(10 a), 3.05 d/(10 a), and 8.09 (℃·d)/(10 a). The upward trend correlates well with the accumulated anticyclonic eddy kinetic energy. In the spring of 2021, the Oyashio and its extension experienced the strongest recorded marine heatwave event. The mixed layer heat budget analysis shows that the event was primarily due to the horizontal advection anomaly caused by the anomalous eddy term. Anomalous anticyclonic eddies, either detaching from the Kuroshio Extension carrying warm water northwards or intensifying in strength, led to the occurrence of the heatwave.

     

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