1993—2022年间黑潮延伸体及黑潮与亲潮交汇区 水文特性年代际至长期变化

Decadal to Long-Term Variation of Hydrographic Properties in the Kuroshio Extension Region and the Kuroshio-Oyashio Confluence From 1993 to 2022

  • 摘要: 大尺度大气强迫驱动了黑潮延伸体(Kuroshio Extension, KE)系统的年代际至长期变化。其中,研究长期变化趋势对认识KE系统如何响应全球气候变化具有重要意义。本文基于1993—2022年期间的卫星遥感数据,对比分析了2010年前后两个时期KE系统和黑潮-亲潮交汇区(Kuroshi-Oyashio Confluence, KOC)区域的热、动力特征及中尺度涡旋变化,同时结合横跨北太平洋的海面风场及海表面异常信号讨论了北太平洋大尺度海表动力异常与KE-KOC区域变化之间的对应关系。结果表明,2010年之前,KE系统主要由两个时间跨度长、强度较强的不稳定态主导。不稳定时期,更多的反气旋式涡旋向北分离,将KE区域的海表信号传递给KOC区域。在2010年之后,KE系统的长期变化特征占主导地位,主要表现为KE流轴整体北移,对应海表面温度异常(Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly, SSTA)和海表面高度异常(Sea Level Anomaly, SLA)整体升高,KE上游两个曲流附近的海表地转流东向分量变平缓、南向分量减弱。这期间KOC区域的SSTA和SLA也存在类似变化。2010年之后在北太平洋中纬度负的风应力旋度异常驱使下,太平洋十年涛动(Pacific Decadal Oscillation, PDO)的负相位开始占主导,对应北太平洋中部海表面高度和海表面温度(Sea Surface Temperature, SST)出现显著正异常。该海洋信号传递到西北太平洋,主导KE-KOC区域的水文特性变化。2010年往后的差异性长期变化仍需在更长时间尺度上进行验证,这也为未来的黑潮延伸体区域模型预测提供了有效参考。

     

    Abstract: Large-scale atmospheric forcing drives the decadal to long-term variation of the Kuroshio Extension (KE) system, and it is of great significance to study the long-term change to understand how the KE system responds to global climate change. Using the satellite data from 1993 to 2022, this study investigated the regional thermal and dynamical characteristics and mesoscale eddy variation of the KE system and the Kuroshio-Oyashio Confluence (KOC) in the two periods before and after 2010. The results show that before 2010, the KE system is primarily dominated by two unstable states with relatively long time span and strong intensity. During the period of instability, more anticyclonic eddies are detached northward, transmitting signals from the KE region into the KOC region. After 2010, the long-term variation of the KE system is dominant, which is mainly manifested in the overall northward shift of the KE path, corresponding to the increase in sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) and sea surface height anomaly (SLA), and the eastward and southward flows near the two meanders upstream of the KE become moderate. During this period, the SSTA and SLA in the KOC region also had similar characteristics. After 2010, driven by the negative wind stress curl anomaly in the mid-latitudes of the North Pacific, the negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) starts to dominate, resulting in significant positive anomalies of SLA and SSTA in the central North Pacific. This ocean signal is transmitted to the Northwest Pacific Ocean and dominates the variation of hydrographic properties in the KE-KOC region. The long-term variation of the difference after 2010 still requires verification on a longer time scale, which also offers an effective reference for the future prediction of the Kuroshio Extension model.

     

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