一种提高海浪长期再分析资料可靠性的数据融合方法及应用

A Fusion Method to Improve the Reliability of Long-Term Reanalysis Data of Ocean Waves and Its Application

  • 摘要: 海浪长期变化特征的研究对人类生产生活有重要意义。然而,再分析资料中的海浪波高在近海及高海况情况下通常低于实际观测数据,可能会对后续的实际应用造成严重的负面影响。对此,本文选取近40年国际综合海气数据集的涌浪波高数据,利用多维变分数据插值方法将其与ERA5涌浪再分析数据进行融合,并利用K折交叉验证、卫星数据验证、时空分布特征分析等方法将原始再分析波高数据和融合后波高数据进行实验对比。结果表明,融合方法有效提高了长期涌浪数据的波高水平,使得融合涌浪波高在高海况条件下更加接近实际观测值。此外,融合方法在保留原始再分析数据的主要时空分布变化特征的基础上,挖掘出了海浪更多的细微变化模态,这有利于在后续海洋灾害防范及海上工程建设等工作中开展应用。

     

    Abstract: The research on long-term variability of ocean waves is crucial for human life and production. However, reanalysis data often underestimate wave heights in offshore region and high sea conditions, and may have potential negative impacts on subsequent applications. To address this issue, this paper integrates the swell height data in the past 40 yeras from the International Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set with those from ERA5 reanalysis using the Data-Interpolating Variational Analysis in n dimensions algorithm. The study compares the original reanalysis wave heights with the fused data with the methods such as K-fold cross-validation, satellite data validation and spatial-temporal distribution analysis. The results indicate that the fusion method effectively enhances the swell wave heights in long-term data, making the fused swell wave heights closer to actual observations in high sea conditions. Furthermore, while preserving the major spatiotemporal variation characteristics of the original reanalysis data, the fusion method reveals additional subtle variation modes, which facilitates subsequent work in marine disastermitigation, offshore engineering, and other related fields.

     

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