基于时序列多波段光谱指数的赤潮预测方法研究

Research on the Red Tide Prediction Method Based on Time-series Multi-band Spectral Indices

  • 摘要: 赤潮是由海洋中能进行光合作用的藻类过度增殖引起的生态灾难。对赤潮的预测能够降低其带来的持续性损失,因而具有重要意义。本研究将图卷积网络(Graph Convolutional Network, GCN)与长短时记忆(Long-Short-Term Memory, LSTM)相结合,通过融合光谱、拓扑和时间特征建立模型,提出了一种基于时间序列高光谱数据的赤潮预测方法。该模型在多个观测点中的多波段光谱指数构建拓扑图的基础上,使用GCN对其进行进一步分析以获得拓扑特征,然后利用LSTM提取这些拓扑图的时间特征。使用通过现场实验获得的高光谱观测数据对所提出的模型进行了测试,结果显示,模型在使用目标预测日期前5天的时序列光谱指数作为输入时准确率达到了约93%;通过消融实验评估了每个模块的贡献,结果表明,拓扑和时间特征在赤潮爆发的预测任务中都起到了重要作用。本研究提出的模型仅使用高光谱遥感技术即可实现赤潮预测,可以为赤潮监测和预防提供信息支持。

     

    Abstract: Red tide is an ecological disaster caused by the excessive proliferation of photosynthetic algae in the ocean. The prediction on red tide occurrence can reduce its continuous damage, and thus is of great importance. This study proposed an integrated model that combines a graph convolution network (GCN) with long-short-term memory (LSTM) for red tide prediction in inter-connected coastal regions by jointly utilizing the of the spectral feature, temporal feature, and topological feature. The multi-band spectral indices in different observation points are used to form topological graphs, of which the topological features are obtained through a GCN. Consequently, the time-series topological graphs are analyzed based on the LSTM module to determine the temporal trends. The proposed model was tested using the in-situ hyperspectral observation and achieved the accuracy at about 91% using the input period of 5 days before the target date of prediction. The contribution of each module is evaluated via an ablation experiment, and the results indicated that both the topological and the temporal features play significant roles in the prediction task of red tide outbreaks. The proposed model can realize red tide prediction only using hyperspectral remote sensing technology, and is expected to provide information support to red tide monitoring and prevention.

     

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