近40年北冰洋关键海峡海洋极向热输送的变化特征研究

Study on the Changes in Poleward Ocean Heat Transport Through the Arctic Ocean Gateways Over the Past 40 Years

  • 摘要: 本文利用ORAS5再分析数据,对近40年北冰洋3个关键海峡(白令海峡、弗拉姆海峡和巴伦支海开口)处海洋极向热输送的变化特征及其与北冰洋海水温度的相关关系进行了研究。研究表明:1979—2023年通过3个海峡进入北冰洋的海洋极向热输送总体呈显著增加趋势((8.88±2.64) TW·(10 a)–1),其中大西洋水经巴伦支海开口的极向热输送增加趋势最大((4.89±1.71) TW·(10 a)–1),弗拉姆海峡次之((3.18±1.25) TW·(10 a)–1),太平洋水经白令海峡的极向热输送增加趋势最小((0.81±0.61) TW·(10 a)–1),3个海峡处海洋极向热输送的变化趋势均存在季节性差异;大西洋水与太平洋水极向热输送的变化与北冰洋不同海域海水温度的变化在不同滞后时间上存在显著相关,大西洋水经巴伦支海开口极向热输送增加会导致同年和次年巴伦支海海水温度升高,大西洋水经弗拉姆海峡极向热输送变化主要影响欧亚海盆区域中层海水温度,影响海域从同年的法兰士约瑟夫地群岛北缘经过4~7年逐步扩张至整个欧亚海盆,太平洋水经白令海峡极向热输送的变化主要影响当年的楚科奇海和东西伯利亚海海水温度。

     

    Abstract: Based on the ORAS5 reanalysis dataset, we analyzed the changes in poleward Atlantic Water (AW) ocean heat transport (OHT) and Pacific Water (PW) OHT via the Bering Strait, Fram Strait and Barents Sea Opening during 1979-2023, and also investigated the correlation between poleward OHT and downstream ocean temperature. The results show that total OHT into the Arctic Ocean through the three gateways has a significant increasing trend ((8.88±2.64) TW·(10 a)–1) from 1979 to 2023, among which AW OHT via the Barents Sea Opening has the largest increasing trend ((4.89±1.71) TW·(10 a)–1), and PW OHT through the Bering Strait has the smallest increasing trend ((0.81±0.61) TW·(10 a)–1). The trends of OHT through the three gateways show significant seasonality. Regional sea water temperature in the Arctic Ocean is significantly correlated with the changes in poleward OHT. The increase of AW OHT through the Barents Sea Opening could lead to the rise of sea water temperature in the Barents Sea in the same year and the next year. The changes of AW OHT through Fram Strait mainly affect the sea water temperature in the intermediate layer of the Eurasian Basin, where the influence gradually expands from the northern edge of the Franz Josef Land at the same year to the entire Eurasian Basin in the lead of 4-7 years. Meanwhile, the changes of PW OHT through the Bering Strait mainly affect the sea water temperature in the Chukchi Sea and the East Siberian Sea in the same year.

     

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