印度尼西亚海域潮流能数值模拟与评估

Numerical Estimation for Tidal Current Energy in the Indonesian Seas

  • 摘要: 基于ROMS(Regional Ocean Modeling System)模式构建了模拟区域为(95°~135°E, 10°S~10°N)、水平分辨率为(1/24)°的潮波数值模式,模拟了印度尼西亚海域8个主要分潮(M2、S2、N2、K2、K1、O1、P1和Q1)。将模拟的6个月潮位结果与36个验潮站水位调和常数进行比较,振幅平均均方根误差与相对误差分别为6 cm、18.1%,迟角分别为18.96°、13.6%。继续使用S_TIDE函数分别提取了8大分潮潮流流速,计算了平均流速、能流密度、理论蕴藏量以及有效流时等体现潮流能丰富度的变量,分析了印度尼西亚海域潮流能强度以及分布情况。进一步筛选出13个潮流能较为丰富的水道,并且按照最大潮流流速将其划分为9个潮流能资源丰富区(A1、A2、A6、A8、A9、A10、A11、A12和A13水道)、2个较丰富区(A3、A5水道)以及2个可利用区(A4、A7水道)。由于水深较大会增加开发难度而排除A4水道(179.2 m)、A7水道(143.2 m),为保证海峡的通航功能而排除A1水道,因较丰富区的开发可能带来经济效益不足而排除A3、A5水道。最后确定8个具有较大开发价值的水道为A2、A6、A8、A9、A10、A11、A12和A13水道。

     

    Abstract: Based on the ROMS (Regional Ocean Modeling System), a numerical tidal model with a horizontal resolution of 1/24° was developed for the domain spanning from 95°E to 135°E and 10°S to 10°N. The model simulated eight principal tidal constituents M2, S2, N2, K2, K1, O1, P1, and Q1 in the Indonesian Seas. The simulated tidal levels in a six-month period were compared with the harmonic tidal constants from 36 tide gauge stations. The average root mean square error and relative error for tidal amplitude were 6 cm and 18.1%, respectively, and those for phase angle were 18.96° and 13.6%, respectively. The S_TIDE function package was employed to derive tidal flow velocities associated with the eight principal tidal constituents, then the variables indicative of tidal energy richness, such as average flow speed, energy flux density, theoretical storage capacity, and effective flow duration, were calculated. These calculations facilitated an analysis of the intensity and distribution of tidal energy across the Indonesian Seas. Further screening identified 13 waterways with relatively abundant tidal energy resources, which can be categorized into zones based on maximum tidal current velocity, finding 9 zones of high tidal energy richness (A1, A2, A6, A8, A9, A10, A11, A12, A13), 2 zones of moderate richness (A3, A5), and 2 zones of potential utilization (A4, A7). Considering the tidal energy utilization complexity due to greater water depths and the safety ensurance of navigational in the straits, zones A4 (179.2 meters), A7 (143.2 meters), and A1 were excluded. Additionally, the utilization of zones with moderate richness, A3 and A5, was unlikely to yield sufficient economic benefits and thus were also excluded. Ultimately, 8 waterways with significant potential utilization were identified (A2, A6, A8, A9, A10, A11, A12, A13).

     

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