2023年东南大西洋春季航次风剖面数据与ERA5数据比对与校正

Comparison and Analysis of Wind Profile Data From the 2023 Southeast Atlantic Spring Expedition and ERA5 Data

  • 摘要: 为评估ERA5再分析风速数据的准确性并提升其在风场研究中的应用价值,本文基于2023年东南大西洋春季航次获取的激光雷达风剖面观测数据,与ERA5再分析数据进行了比对分析。结果表明,ERA5数据在低层风速预测方面表现较好,但在边界层及高层存在明显偏差,尤其在湍流、风切变、强对流天气及降水等复杂天气条件下,偏差更为显著。针对上述问题,本文构建了基于深度学习的校正方法,以激光雷达实测风剖面数据作为校准依据,优化ERA5再分析风速数据,结果显示校正后的ERA5数据与激光雷达观测值更加吻合;在复杂气象条件下,校正后的ERA5风速数据与实测风速的相关系数相比校正前提高57.80%,均方根误差降低33.26%,平均绝对误差降低67.10%,偏差减少75.25%,表明基于激光雷达实测数据的深度学习校正方法能够有效提升再分析风速数据的精度,为风场数值预报和海气相互作用研究提供新的技术路径与参考依据。

     

    Abstract: To evaluate the accuracy of ERA5 wind speed data and enhance its application value, this study conducted a comparative analysis between ERA5 reanalysis data and lidar wind profile data obtained during the 2023 spring voyage in the Southeast Atlantic. The comparison results indicate that ERA5 data performs well in predicting low-level wind speeds but exhibits significant deviations in the boundary layer and higher altitudes, particularly under complex weather conditions such as turbulence, wind shear, severe convection, and precipitation. To address these deviations, this study developed a deep learning-based correction method, using lidar-measured wind profile data as the calibration reference to optimize the ERA5 reanalysis wind speed data. The results show that the corrected ERA5 data aligns more closely with lidar observations. Under complex meteorological conditions, the correlation coefficient between the corrected ERA5 wind speed data and the measured wind speed increased by 57.80%, while the root mean square error decreased by 33.26%, the mean absolute error decreased by 67.10%, and the bias was reduced by 75.25%. These findings demonstrate that the deep learning correction method based on lidar-measured data can effectively improve the accuracy of reanalysis wind speed data, providing new insights and references for numerical wind field foreasting and research on air-sea interactions.

     

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