南大洋上层经向Ekman热输运年际变异规律

Interannual Variability of the Meridional Ekman Heat Transport in the Upper Southern Ocean

  • 摘要: 南大洋经向Ekman热输运对全球热盐环流及水团演变具有重要调节作用。本研究基于再分析数据和经验正交函数(Empirical Orthogonal Function, EOF)分解及相关分析等方法,系统探究了南大洋上层经向Ekman热输运的年际变异特征及其对主要气候模态的响应。研究表明,该热输运大致以55°S为界,以北为北向输运,以南为南向输运。在印度洋与大西洋50°~60°S以及太平洋60°~70°S范围内,其年际变异主要由海表温度变化主导,贡献比例达40%~70%;而在其他区域,风应力变化是主要控制因子,贡献比例普遍超过80%。该热输运年际变异的主导模态呈纬向带状空间分布,主要受南半球环状模(Southern Annular Mode, SAM)调控:当SAM处于正位相时,50°~60°S热输运呈现正异常,而在50°S以北和60°S以南则表现为负异常。第二模态的异常中心主要位于太平洋约50°S以北区域,可能作为厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(El Niño-Southern Oscillation, ENSO)事件的前兆信号。该海域出现热输运负异常时,热带太平洋易发生厄尔尼诺事件;反之,则可能发展为拉尼娜事件。第三模态异常主要分布于约50°S以北,自西向东呈正负交替分布,形成三大洋东、西海盆的偶极子型结构。该模态主要受ENSO调控,可能受到风-蒸发-海表温度正反馈机制的影响。本研究深化了对南大洋风场和海表温度变化在全球热量平衡中关键作用的认识。

     

    Abstract: The meridional Ekman heat transport in the Southern Ocean plays an important role in regulating the global thermohaline circulation and water-mass transformation. Using reanalysis products together with empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis and correlation analysis, this study systematically examines the interannual variability of the upper-ocean meridional Ekman heat transport in the Southern Ocean and its responses to major climate modes. The results show the mean meridional Ekman heat transport is broadly separated by 55°S, with northward transport occurring north of this latitude and southward transport south of it. In the Indian and Atlantic Oceans (50°-60°S) and the Pacific Ocean (60°-70°S), the interannual variability of the meridional Ekman heat transport is primarily driven by sea surface temperature variability, which explains 40%-70% of the total variance. In contrast, in other regions, wind-stress variability is the dominant factor, accounting for over 80% of the variance. The leading mode of interannual variability exhibits a zonally banded spatial structure and is mainly regulated by the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). During the positive phases of SAM, the meridional Ekman heat transport anomalies are positive between 50°S and 60°S, while negative anomalies occur north of 50°S and south of 60°S. The anomaly center of the second mode is primarily located north of 55°S in the Pacific, potentially serving as a precursor signal for El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. Negative Ekman heat transport anomalies in this region tend to precede El Niño events in the tropical Pacific, whereas positive anomalies may favor the development of La Niña events. The anomalies associated with the third mode are primarily distributed north of 55°S, with alternating positive and negative patterns from west to east, forming a dipole-like structure between the western-eastern basins in each of the three oceans. This mode is primarily regulated by ENSO and may be associated with the wind-evaporation-sea surface temperature positive feedback mechanism. Overall, this study advances our understanding of the critical role of wind forcing and sea surface temperature variations in the Southern Ocean in the global heat balance.

     

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