基于多源遥感的泰国春武里府红树林碳储量动态研究(1996—2023)

Multi-Source Remote Sensing for Long-Term Dynamics of Mangrove Carbon Storage in Chonburi Province, Thailand(1996–2023)

  • 摘要: 红树林作为典型蓝碳生态系统,在全球碳循环与气候变化调控中具有重要作用。春武里府是泰国东部沿海工业化与城市化高度集中的区域,红树林在过去30年间受人类活动干扰显著,呈现退化与恢复并存的复杂动态。然而,目前缺乏针对该地区碳储量长期演变的系统研究。本研究综合利用Sentinel 1/2卫星影像、无人机激光雷达(UAV-LiDAR)、无人机倾斜摄影(UAV-OP)与地面样地调查数据,构建了“地面-无人机-遥感”多源数据支撑体系。通过单木分割与异速生长方程提取林分参数,并结合随机森林方法实现了红树林分布提取与碳储量反演。结果表明:基于多源遥感与无人机数据构建的分类与反演模型精度优于传统方法,其中红树林分类总体精度(Overall Accuracy, OA)达92.37%,Kappa系数为0.89;生物量反演模型的决定系数(R2)为0.87,均方根误差(RMSE)为12.46 Mg/ha,能够较为准确地刻画红树林结构与生物量特征。基于反演生物量与碳转化系数(CF)的估算结果显示,1996年春武里府红树林地上生物量为163.97×103 Mg,总碳储量155.77 kt;至2015年分别降至129.49×103 Mg和123.01 kt,减少约21%,为观测期最低值。此后逐步恢复,2023年生物量和碳储量分别达到145.24×103 Mg和137.98 kt,恢复至1996年水平的85%~88%。单位面积碳密度在92.78~98.32 t/ha范围内保持相对稳定,表明该地区总碳储量的波动主要受红树林面积变化驱动。本研究提出了一个融合多源遥感与人工智能技术的数据联动方法框架,并验证了该方法在红树林碳汇时空演变分析中的可行性,研究成果可为泰国及类似地区的碳核算以及红树林保护与修复实践提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract: Mangrove forests, as vital blue carbon ecosystems, play a crucial role in global carbon cycling and climate change mitigation. Chonburi Province, Thailand, a highly industrialized and urbanized coastal region, has undergone significant mangrove degradation and partial recovery over the past three decades. Yet, long-term assessments of carbon storage dynamics remain limited. This study developed a comprehensive ground-UAV-satellite monitoring framework by integrating Sentinel-1/2 imagery, UAV-LiDAR, UAV oblique photography, and field plot surveys. Stand parameters were derived through individual tree segmentation and allometric equations, while mangrove distribution and carbon stocks were estimated using a Random Forest model. The proposed approach achieved high accuracy, with an overall classification accuracy of 92.37% and a Kappa coefficient of 0.89. Biomass inversion performed robustly (R2=0.87, RMSE=12.46 Mg/ha), enabling reliable characterization of mangrove structure and biomass. Results showed that aboveground biomass and carbon stock declined from 163.97×103 Mg and 155.77 kt in 1996 to 129.49×103 Mg and 123.01 kt in 2015 (a 21% reduction), before recovering to 145.24×103 Mg and 137.98 kt by 2023, reaching 85%–88% of 1996 levels. Carbon density per unit area remained stable (92.78–98.32 t/ha), indicating that changes in total carbon storage were driven mainly by mangrove area dynamics rather than density shifts. This study demonstrates the effectiveness of multi-source remote sensing and AI-based methods for quantifying spatiotemporal changes in mangrove carbon sinks. The findings provide a robust scientific basis for carbon accounting and offer valuable support for mangrove conservation and restoration in Thailand and similar coastal regions.

     

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